Expected outcomes Worked Solutions — GCSE Maths

Fully worked, step-by-step solutions to GCSE Expected outcomes questions. See exactly how to solve problems on equally likely outcomes, probability from a fair device, expected frequency, expected frequency = probability x trials.

equally likely outcomesprobability from a fair deviceexpected frequencyexpected frequency = probability x trialsfairnessrandomness
GCSE Foundation70 questionsStep-by-step solutions
Question 1
2 markseasy
A fair spinner has 88 equally likely sections. 33 of the sections are red and 55 of the sections are blue. Work out the probability that the spinner lands on red. Give your answer as a fraction in its simplest form.

Worked solution

  1. Check that the outcomes are equally likely

    8 equally likely outcomes\text{8 equally likely outcomes}

    The question says the spinner is fair, so each of the 88 sections is equally likely. That is what makes it safe to work the probability out by counting outcomes.

  2. Write down the probability

    P=38=38P = \frac{3}{8} = \frac{3}{8}

    For equally likely outcomes the probability is the number of favourable outcomes over the total: 38\frac{3}{8}. 33 and 88 have no common factor bigger than 11, so it is already in its simplest form. The favourable outcomes are the 33 red sections.

  3. State the answer

    38\frac{3}{8}

    So the probability that the spinner lands on red is 38\frac{3}{8}.

Answer
38\frac{3}{8}
Question 2
1 markeasy
A fair spinner has 1010 equally likely sections. 44 of the sections are red and 66 of the sections are blue. Work out the probability that the spinner lands on red. Give your answer as a fraction in its simplest form.

Worked solution

  1. Check that the outcomes are equally likely

    10 equally likely outcomes\text{10 equally likely outcomes}

    The question says the spinner is fair, so each of the 1010 sections is equally likely. That is what makes it safe to work the probability out by counting outcomes.

  2. Write down the probability and simplify it

    P=410=25P = \frac{4}{10} = \frac{2}{5}

    For equally likely outcomes the probability is the number of favourable outcomes over the total: 410\frac{4}{10}. The highest common factor of 44 and 1010 is 22, so this simplifies to 25\frac{2}{5}. The favourable outcomes are the 44 red sections.

  3. State the answer

    25\frac{2}{5}

    So the probability that the spinner lands on red is 25\frac{2}{5}.

Answer
25\frac{2}{5}
Question 3
2 markseasy
A fair spinner has 1212 equally likely sections. 33 of the sections are red, 55 of the sections are blue and 44 of the sections are green. Work out the probability that the spinner lands on green. Give your answer as a fraction in its simplest form.

Worked solution

  1. Check that the outcomes are equally likely

    12 equally likely outcomes\text{12 equally likely outcomes}

    The question says the spinner is fair, so each of the 1212 sections is equally likely. That is what makes it safe to work the probability out by counting outcomes.

  2. Write down the probability and simplify it

    P=412=13P = \frac{4}{12} = \frac{1}{3}

    For equally likely outcomes the probability is the number of favourable outcomes over the total: 412\frac{4}{12}. The highest common factor of 44 and 1212 is 44, so this simplifies to 13\frac{1}{3}. The favourable outcomes are the 44 green sections.

  3. State the answer

    13\frac{1}{3}

    So the probability that the spinner lands on green is 13\frac{1}{3}.

Answer
13\frac{1}{3}
Question 4
1 markeasy
A bag contains 55 red counters and 33 blue counters. A counter is taken at random from the bag and is then put back. Each counter is equally likely to be taken. Work out the probability that a red counter is taken. Give your answer as a fraction in its simplest form.

Worked solution

  1. Check that the outcomes are equally likely

    8 equally likely outcomes\text{8 equally likely outcomes}

    The question says the counter is fair, so each of the 88 counters is equally likely. That is what makes it safe to work the probability out by counting outcomes.

  2. Write down the probability

    P=58=58P = \frac{5}{8} = \frac{5}{8}

    For equally likely outcomes the probability is the number of favourable outcomes over the total: 58\frac{5}{8}. 55 and 88 have no common factor bigger than 11, so it is already in its simplest form. The favourable outcomes are the 55 red counters.

  3. State the answer

    58\frac{5}{8}

    So the probability that a red counter is taken is 58\frac{5}{8}.

Answer
58\frac{5}{8}
Question 5
2 markseasy
A bag contains 66 red counters, 44 blue counters and 1010 green counters. A counter is taken at random from the bag and is then put back. Each counter is equally likely to be taken. Work out the probability that a blue counter is taken. Give your answer as a fraction in its simplest form.

Worked solution

  1. Check that the outcomes are equally likely

    20 equally likely outcomes\text{20 equally likely outcomes}

    The question says the counter is fair, so each of the 2020 counters is equally likely. That is what makes it safe to work the probability out by counting outcomes.

  2. Write down the probability and simplify it

    P=420=15P = \frac{4}{20} = \frac{1}{5}

    For equally likely outcomes the probability is the number of favourable outcomes over the total: 420\frac{4}{20}. The highest common factor of 44 and 2020 is 44, so this simplifies to 15\frac{1}{5}. The favourable outcomes are the 44 blue counters.

  3. State the answer

    15\frac{1}{5}

    So the probability that a blue counter is taken is 15\frac{1}{5}.

Answer
15\frac{1}{5}

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