Use the fact that the probabilities sum to 1
x∑P(X=x)=1 The total probability of a discrete random variable is always 1.
Add the probabilities in terms of k
k+2k+2k+k=1 Every entry of the distribution is written in terms of k.
Collect like terms to form an equation in k
The equation is linear in k.
Solve the equation for k
6k=1⇒k=61 Dividing by the coefficient of k gives the value of k.
Write out the completed probability distribution
xP(X=x)−161031131261 With k known, every probability is a definite fraction.
Recall the definition of E(X)
E(X)=x∑xP(X=x) Each value of x is multiplied by the probability of that value of x.
Multiply each value of x by its probability
E(X)=(−1)×61+0×31+1×31+2×61 This is the sum defining E(X).
Add the contributions to E(X)
−61+0+31+31=21 Adding the exact fractions gives the required expectation.
Recall the definition of E(X2)
E(X2)=x∑x2P(X=x) Each value of x2 is multiplied by the probability of that value of x.
Evaluate x2 at each value of x
x=−1⇒x2=1,x=0⇒x2=0,x=1⇒x2=1,x=2⇒x2=4 Apply the function to each value of x before weighting.
Multiply each value of x2 by its probability
E(X2)=1×61+0×31+1×31+4×61 This is the sum defining E(X2).
Add the contributions to E(X2)
61+0+31+32=67 Adding the exact fractions gives the required expectation.
Recall the formula for Var(X)
Var(X)=E(X2)−[E(X)]2 The variance is the mean of the squares minus the square of the mean.
Substitute E(X2) and E(X) into the variance formula
Var(X)=67−(21)2 Both expectations are already known as exact fractions.
Simplify to find Var(X)
Var(X)=1211 Subtracting the exact fractions gives the variance.
Recall the rule for the variance of a linear function of X
Var(aX+b)=a2Var(X) The multiplier is SQUARED and the constant b disappears entirely.
Substitute Var(X) and a2=16
Var(4X+3)=16×1211 Here a=4, so a2=16.
Select the option equal to this value
Var(4X+3)=344 The constant term has vanished and the multiplier has been squared.