Further Maths Combinations of random variables Practice Questions

Free Further Maths Combinations of random variables practice questions with full step-by-step worked solutions. Covers linear-transformation, expectation, variance, scaling-versus-sampling. Practise exam-style problems and check your method.

linear-transformationexpectationvariancescaling-versus-samplingindependencesum-of-poisson-variables
Further Maths70 questionsStep-by-step solutions
Question 1
2 markseasy
The random variable XX has E(X)=6E(X)=6 and Var(X)=4\operatorname{Var}(X)=4. Find E(3X+5)E\left(3X+5\right).
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Worked solution

  1. Quote the rule for the expectation of this combination

    E(3X+5)=3E(X)+5E\left(3X+5\right)=3E(X)+5

    Expectation is linear, so each coefficient simply multiplies its own mean.

  2. Substitute the given means

    E(3X+5)=3×6+5E\left(3X+5\right)=3\times 6+5

    Replace each EE by the number supplied in the question.

  3. State the expectation

    E(3X+5)=23E\left(3X+5\right)=23

    This is the mean of the combination.

Answer
E(3X+5)=23E\left(3X+5\right)=23
Question 2
2 markseasy
The independent random variables XX and YY have Var(X)=9\operatorname{Var}(X)=9 and Var(Y)=4\operatorname{Var}(Y)=4. Which of the following statements about Var(XY)\operatorname{Var}\left(X-Y\right) is correct?
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Worked solution

  1. Write down the given variances

    Var(X)=9,Var(Y)=4\operatorname{Var}(X)=9,\qquad\operatorname{Var}(Y)=4

    Only the variances matter here; the means are irrelevant.

  2. Write the difference as a linear combination

    XY=1×X+(1)×YX-Y=1\times X+\left(-1\right)\times Y

    Seeing the 1-1 explicitly is the whole point.

  3. Square each coefficient

    Var(XY)=12×9+(1)2×4\operatorname{Var}(X-Y)=1^{2}\times 9+\left(-1\right)^{2}\times 4

    Squaring the 1-1 turns it into +1+1.

  4. Select the correct statement

    Var(XY)=Var(X)+Var(Y)=13\operatorname{Var}(X-Y)=\operatorname{Var}(X)+\operatorname{Var}(Y)=13

    Variances of independent variables always add, whatever the signs.

Answer
Var(XY)=13\operatorname{Var}(X-Y)=13
Question 3
4 marksintermediate
The independent random variables XX and YY have Var(X)=9\operatorname{Var}(X)=9 and Var(Y)=16\operatorname{Var}(Y)=16. Which of the following is the standard deviation of X+YX+Y?
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Worked solution

  1. Add the variances, not the standard deviations

    Var(X+Y)=9+16=25\operatorname{Var}\left(X+Y\right)=9+16=25

    This is the only quantity that is additive for independent variables.

  2. Take the square root of the total variance

    sd(X+Y)=25=5\operatorname{sd}\left(X+Y\right)=\sqrt{25}=5

    The root is taken once, after the variances have been combined.

  3. Reject the sum of the standard deviations

    9+16=75\sqrt{9}+\sqrt{16}=7\neq 5

    Standard deviations are never added: this is the classic error.

  4. Check with the triangle picture

    sd(X+Y)2=sd(X)2+sd(Y)2\operatorname{sd}\left(X+Y\right)^{2}=\operatorname{sd}(X)^{2}+\operatorname{sd}(Y)^{2}

    Standard deviations combine like the sides of a right-angled triangle.

  5. Reject the variance itself as an answer

    25 is a variance, not a standard deviation25\ \text{is a variance, not a standard deviation}

    A variance is in squared units, so it cannot be the spread.

  6. Confirm by squaring the answer back

    (5)2=25\left(5\right)^{2}=25

    Squaring must return the combined variance.

  7. Select the correct standard deviation

    sd(X+Y)=5\operatorname{sd}\left(X+Y\right)=5

    Variances add, and only then is the square root taken.

Answer
sd(X+Y)=5\operatorname{sd}\left(X+Y\right)=5
Question 4
6 markshard
The independent random variables XX and YY have XPo(3)X\sim\operatorname{Po}\left(3\right) and YPo(4)Y\sim\operatorname{Po}\left(4\right). Which of the following is the distribution of X+YX+Y?
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Worked solution

  1. Write down the parameters given

    XPo(3),YPo(4)X\sim\operatorname{Po}\left(3\right),\qquad Y\sim\operatorname{Po}\left(4\right)

    Each count is Poisson with its own rate.

  2. Recall the additive property of the Poisson distribution

    Po(λ1)+Po(λ2)=Po(λ1+λ2)(independent)\operatorname{Po}\left(\lambda_{1}\right)+\operatorname{Po}\left(\lambda_{2}\right)=\operatorname{Po}\left(\lambda_{1}+\lambda_{2}\right)\quad\text{(independent)}

    The parameters ADD; they are not multiplied or averaged.

  3. Add the parameters

    λ=3+4=7\lambda=3+4=7

    The combined count occurs at the combined rate.

  4. Check with the mean and the variance

    E(X+Y)=7,Var(X+Y)=7E\left(X+Y\right)=7,\qquad\operatorname{Var}\left(X+Y\right)=7

    Both the means and the variances add, and for a Poisson they must be equal.

  5. Justify the additivity by convolution

    P(X+Y=s)=j=0sP(X=j)P(Y=sj)P\left(X+Y=s\right)=\sum_{j=0}^{s}P(X=j)P(Y=s-j)

    Carrying out this sum gives exactly eλλss!e^{-\lambda}\frac{\lambda^{s}}{s!} with λ=7\lambda=7: that is the proof, not merely a rule.

  6. Reject the product of the parameters

    λ3×4=12\lambda\neq 3\times 4=12

    Rates add over independent streams; they are not multiplied.

  7. Reject the average of the parameters

    λ72=3.5\lambda\neq\frac{7}{2}=3.5

    Averaging would describe one typical stream, not the two combined.

  8. Reject the normal option

    X+Y takes only the values 0,1,2,X+Y\ \text{takes only the values }0,1,2,\dots

    The combined count is discrete, so it cannot have a normal distribution.

  9. Record the modelling assumption

    X and Y independentX\ \text{and}\ Y\ \text{independent}

    The additivity of the Poisson distribution fails without independence.

  10. Note that the difference is NOT Poisson

    Var(XY)=7E(XY)\operatorname{Var}\left(X-Y\right)=7\neq E\left(X-Y\right)

    Only the SUM keeps the Poisson form; the difference cannot.

  11. Select the correct distribution

    X+YPo(7)X+Y\sim \operatorname{Po}\left(7\right)

    A sum of independent Poisson variables is Poisson with the summed parameter.

Answer
X+YPo(7)X+Y\sim \operatorname{Po}\left(7\right)
Question 5
9 markschallenging
The independent random variables XX and YY have XPo(4)X\sim\operatorname{Po}\left(4\right) and YPo(3)Y\sim\operatorname{Po}\left(3\right). Which of the following statements about XYX-Y is correct?
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Worked solution

  1. Write down the mean and the variance of each Poisson variable

    E(X)=Var(X)=4,E(Y)=Var(Y)=3E(X)=\operatorname{Var}(X)=4,\qquad E(Y)=\operatorname{Var}(Y)=3

    For a Poisson variable the mean and the variance are both λ\lambda.

  2. Find the mean of the difference

    E(XY)=43=1E(X-Y)=4-3=1

    Means subtract, exactly as the linearity of expectation says they must.

  3. Find the variance of the difference

    Var(XY)=12×4+(1)2×3=7\operatorname{Var}(X-Y)=1^{2}\times 4+\left(-1\right)^{2}\times 3=7

    The variances ADD, so the difference is more variable than either count.

  4. Compare the mean with the variance

    171\neq 7

    A Poisson variable must have equal mean and variance, so XYX-Y cannot be Poisson.

  5. Note the other obstruction

    P(XY<0)>0P\left(X-Y<0\right)>0

    A Poisson variable cannot take negative values, but a difference certainly can.

  6. Contrast with the SUM, which is Poisson

    X+YPo(7)X+Y\sim\operatorname{Po}\left(7\right)

    Adding independent Poisson variables preserves the family; subtracting does not.

  7. Check the mean of the sum against its variance

    E(X+Y)=Var(X+Y)=7E\left(X+Y\right)=\operatorname{Var}\left(X+Y\right)=7

    For the sum the two agree, which is exactly what a Poisson requires.

  8. Write the difference as a linear combination

    XY=1×X+(1)×YX-Y=1\times X+\left(-1\right)\times Y

    Seeing the coefficient 1-1 explicitly is what fixes the variance.

  9. Square the coefficients

    12=1,(1)2=11^{2}=1,\qquad\left(-1\right)^{2}=1

    Both contributions therefore enter with a plus sign.

  10. Reject the claim that the variances subtract

    43=174-3=1\neq 7

    That would make the difference LESS variable than XX alone, which is absurd.

  11. Give the standard deviation of the difference

    sd(XY)=7=2.6458\operatorname{sd}\left(X-Y\right)=\sqrt{7}=2.6458

    The difference is more spread out than either count on its own.

  12. Note that the means DO subtract

    E(XY)=43=1E\left(X-Y\right)=4-3=1

    Linearity of expectation handles the minus sign exactly as written.

  13. Note what the difference is used for

    XY measures the excess of one count over the otherX-Y\ \text{measures the excess of one count over the other}

    Its mean and variance are still available, even though it has no standard name.

  14. Check that every contribution is positive

    Var=7>0\operatorname{Var}=7>0

    A squared coefficient can never be negative, so a variance never shrinks when another independent variable is brought in.

  15. Note what independence has bought

    Var(aX+bY)=a2Var(X)+b2Var(Y)+2abCov(X,Y)\operatorname{Var}\left(aX+bY\right)=a^{2}\operatorname{Var}(X)+b^{2}\operatorname{Var}(Y)+2ab\operatorname{Cov}(X,Y)

    Independence makes the covariance zero; without it the last term survives.

  16. Select the correct statement

    E(XY)=1,Var(XY)=7E(X-Y)=1,\qquad\operatorname{Var}(X-Y)=7

    Poisson variables add, but they do not subtract.

Answer
E(XY)=1, Var(XY)=7E(X-Y)=1,\ \operatorname{Var}(X-Y)=7

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